Over/under model
Totals
An independent over/under model: a purpose-built run estimator (starters, bullpen innings, lineups, park, and weather) turned into a run distribution, anchored to the totals market. Picks are paper-only until they show positive closing-line value — graded against the sharp totals close, never the moneyline close.
Paper / simulated
Paper recordWins–losses–pushes over graded totals picks. A final total exactly on the line is a push (stake returned), never a loss.44-54-5
Graded103
Avg CLVClosing-line value in probability points vs the sharp totals close — the gate for ever taking totals live.+0.75pp
Beat the close72/104
Totals board
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
scan complete · 0 rows
No totals published yet
Totals are paper-only and may still be firming up — the pipeline re-runs through the afternoon. If this stays empty, the engine may not have synced the totals table yet.