+EV MLB moneyline · starting-pitcher focused

Transparent value bets, measured by edge — not hype.

BiffBet runs a transparent win-probability model, anchors it to the de-vigged market, and surfaces only positive expected-value plays. Every pick shows its full reasoning and is tracked for EV and closing-line value.

See the track record Recent results

+EV picks

Wed, Jun 3, 2026

No +EV bets on this slate

The model looked at every game below and none cleared the EV threshold. Quiet days are part of the discipline — fewer bets, sharper picks.

Model passed · below EV threshold

15 games

San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers · 7:40 PM ET

Lean Milwaukee Brewers (home)

Proj 3.4 – 4.7

-156

+3.7%

Model

63.2%

Mkt

58.8%

Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves · 7:15 PM ET

Lean Atlanta Braves (home)

Proj 4.0 – 5.7

-149

+3.2%

Model

61.8%

Mkt

57.7%

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks · 9:40 PM ET

Lean Los Angeles Dodgers (away)

Proj 6.4 – 3.3

-198

+3.1%

Model

68.5%

Mkt

64.5%

San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies · 6:40 PM ET

Lean San Diego Padres (away)

Proj 3.2 – 4.0

+179

+2.7%

Model

36.8%

Mkt

33.2%

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox · 6:45 PM ET

Lean Boston Red Sox (home)

Proj 3.8 – 5.3

-156

+2.5%

Model

62.5%

Mkt

58.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros · 8:10 PM ET

Lean Pittsburgh Pirates (away)

Proj 5.6 – 3.6

-156

+1.1%

Model

61.6%

Mkt

58.8%

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels · 9:38 PM ET

Lean Los Angeles Angels (home)

Proj 4.7 – 5.6

-157

+0.1%

Model

61.2%

Mkt

59.0%

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays · 1:10 PM ET

Lean Tampa Bay Rays (home)

Proj 4.5 – 4.9

-149

-0.1%

Model

59.8%

Mkt

57.7%

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins · 1:40 PM ET

Lean Chicago White Sox (away)

Proj 4.9 – 4.8

+124

-0.9%

Model

44.2%

Mkt

42.2%

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds · 7:10 PM ET

Lean Cincinnati Reds (home)

Proj 4.2 – 5.0

-163

-1.2%

Model

61.3%

Mkt

59.9%

New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners · 3:40 PM ET

Lean Seattle Mariners (home)

Proj 2.9 – 3.9

-149

-2.2%

Model

58.5%

Mkt

57.7%

Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees · 7:05 PM ET

Lean New York Yankees (home)

Proj 3.8 – 5.1

-156

-2.8%

Model

59.2%

Mkt

58.8%

Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals · 7:45 PM ET

Lean St. Louis Cardinals (home)

Proj 4.3 – 4.1

-119

-3.4%

Model

52.5%

Mkt

52.0%

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals · 1:05 PM ET

Lean Washington Nationals (home)

Proj 4.9 – 4.7

-108

-3.8%

Model

50.0%

Mkt

49.5%

Athletics @ Chicago Cubs · 8:05 PM ET

Lean Athletics (away)

Proj 4.9 – 4.7

+113

-3.9%

Model

45.1%

Mkt

44.5%