NFL + College FBS
Football
NFL + college FBS spreads and totals from a matchup-exploitation model: every unit is percentiled within its league, strong units are matched against weak opposing units (with an offensive-line layer and game-time weather), and the projection is anchored 65% to the de-vigged market. Picks are paper-only until they show positive closing-line value vs the sharp close. Records are always broken out by league and market — never blended.
Paper / simulatedLive O/U →
Paper records · by league and market
CFB totalsWins–losses–pushes on committed CFB total paper picks (model matchup_v1). Exactly on the number = push, stake returned. Flat ROI -13.2% · avg CLV -0.24pp on 11 tracked.2-2-0
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No football board published yet
Football publishes in season (Aug–Jan): opening lines Tuesday, refreshed daily, closes captured through the weekend windows. If this stays empty in season, the engine may not have synced the football tables yet.